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2009-01-17

Model Predictions

Model UCF Knights Rice Owls Spread Result
Elo 84.6% 15.4% -
Bradley-Terry 66.8% 33.2% -
Margin 64.2% 35.8% -3.2 (21.8 off)

Actual: Rice Owls -25 (52-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.

UCF Knights

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A.J. Rompza 33 3-5 1-2 0-0 2 6 3 0 1 7 12 -
T. Davis 32 7-11 2-3 1-1 12 2 2 1 2 17 21 -
K. Zondervan 27 5-8 0-0 2-2 4 3 0 1 3 12 9 -
T. Young 24 1-3 0-0 2-2 3 5 0 0 0 4 9 -
J. Taylor 23 8-13 3-4 1-2 4 3 0 0 3 20 11 -
I. Sosa 18 2-6 0-2 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 4 -1 -
C. Baez 15 2-5 0-1 0-0 2 0 2 0 1 4 2 -
A.J. Tyler 12 3-4 1-1 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 7 6 -
W. Weathers 6 0-1 0-0 0-1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
P.J. Gaynor 6 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
J. Yotio 3 1-2 0-0 0-1 1 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
K. Pugh 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Rice Owls

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Pflieger 35 2-10 2-10 2-3 2 4 1 0 1 8 4 -
T. Stanton 34 3-6 0-2 2-3 4 1 0 0 1 8 6 -
C. Frizzelle 29 4-8 2-5 4-4 2 2 0 0 1 14 9 -
R. Foster 23 1-4 0-2 0-0 1 2 2 1 4 2 0 -
A. Perka 22 2-7 0-0 1-2 2 0 0 1 0 5 1 -
L. Ghoram 21 2-7 1-2 2-2 2 0 1 0 2 7 1 -
B. Beasley 18 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -
S. Braimoh 10 1-2 0-0 5-6 3 0 1 0 1 7 8 -
N. Schwarze 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
E. Herndon 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -
Z. Coffelt 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
C. Wilson 1 0-0 0-0 1-2 1 0 0 0 0 1 2 -
P.J. Bolte 1 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter