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2009-01-17

Model Predictions

Model Akron Zips Bowling Green Falcons Spread Result
Elo 60.7% 39.3% -3.6 โœ“ (6.4 off)
Bradley-Terry 55.2% 44.8% - โœ“
Margin 56.3% 43.7% -1.4 โœ“ (8.6 off)
Pythagorean 52.7% 47.3% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 68.8% 31.2% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 69.0% 31.0% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 53.1% 46.9% - โœ“

Actual: Bowling Green Falcons -10 (52-62). Ratings: 2008-09 season-end ratings.

Akron Zips

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Nate Linhart * 34 2-5 2-4 4-4 7 3 2 0 2 10 15 -
Humpty Hitchens * 31 5-15 1-4 4-5 5 3 2 0 1 15 9 -
Mike Bardo * 26 3-4 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 1 0 6 8 -
Darryl Roberts * 26 3-5 0-1 4-4 4 0 0 0 0 10 9 -
Brett McKnight * 17 0-6 0-2 2-4 5 1 1 1 1 2 3 -
Chris McKnight 24 4-10 1-5 1-3 3 1 2 2 1 10 7 -
Steve McNees 18 1-3 1-3 0-0 3 2 0 0 0 3 5 -
Brett McClanahan 10 0-2 0-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 0 -2 -
Nikola Cvetinovic 9 3-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 1 6 4 -
Jimmy Conyers 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

Bowling Green Falcons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Brian Moten * 34 2-9 2-7 2-3 3 0 2 0 0 8 4 -
Darryl Clements * 33 3-10 1-4 4-4 6 2 1 1 2 11 9 -
Otis Polk * 28 3-7 0-0 2-2 5 0 0 2 2 8 6 -
Joe Jakubowski * 23 0-1 0-1 0-1 2 4 0 0 1 0 4 -
Chris Knight * 17 0-5 0-1 3-4 3 0 0 0 1 3 0 -
Nate Miller 30 6-12 1-3 2-4 7 2 1 0 2 15 11 -
Marc Larson 22 1-4 0-0 5-6 6 0 0 1 2 7 8 -
Scott Thomas 7 0-4 0-2 0-0 3 0 1 0 0 0 0 -
Erik Marschall 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
Dee Brown 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter