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2009-01-17

Model Predictions

Model BYU Cougars New Mexico Lobos Spread Result
Elo 59.4% 40.6% -
Bradley-Terry 57.2% 42.8% -
Margin 59.5% 40.5% -2.1 (21.1 off)
Pythagorean 51.0% 49.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 65.1% 34.9% -
Log Adjusted 65.3% 34.7% -

Actual: New Mexico Lobos +19 (81-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.

BYU Cougars

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
L. Cummard 34 1-7 1-2 4-4 6 3 2 1 2 7 10 -
J. Fredette 32 4-11 1-4 6-6 3 4 0 1 2 15 10 -
J. Tavernari 31 5-14 3-7 0-0 6 2 1 0 2 13 6 -
J. Emery 30 0-5 0-5 1-2 6 2 1 0 1 1 4 -
C. Miles 20 3-3 0-0 1-4 3 0 0 1 4 7 4 -
G. MacGregor 16 5-5 0-0 1-3 7 0 0 0 0 11 13 -
L. Morgan Jr. 15 2-3 1-2 0-0 0 1 1 0 1 5 3 -
C. Abouo 8 1-3 0-1 1-2 0 0 0 0 2 3 -2 -
A. Rose 7 0-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -
J. Anderson 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
N. Hartsock 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

New Mexico Lobos

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Danridge 35 5-13 0-1 3-4 8 1 0 0 0 13 9 -
R. Martinez 31 4-7 4-6 3-4 7 0 0 1 1 15 15 -
D. Faris 28 6-12 0-0 7-7 3 1 1 2 1 19 13 -
C. Toppert 22 5-7 3-5 2-2 5 1 0 0 0 15 14 -
D. Gary 21 3-5 0-1 2-2 3 2 2 0 1 8 9 -
P. McDonald 19 1-7 0-4 3-4 2 1 0 0 2 5 -1 -
N. Garth 16 0-3 0-1 2-2 0 6 1 0 1 2 5 -
J. Wills 13 1-2 0-0 0-0 3 2 0 0 0 2 5 -
W. Brown 12 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 3 -
A.J. Hardeman 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 1 0 0 -

* = starter