Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Hurricanes | North Carolina Tar Heels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 21.9% | 78.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 32.3% | 67.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 21.4% | 78.6% | +7.1 | ✓ (9.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 26.4% | 73.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 6.6% | 93.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 4.6% | 95.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 4.6% | 95.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels +17 (82-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Hurricanes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. McClinton | 31 | 9-20 | 3-10 | 0-1 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 21 | 5 | - |
| D. Collins | 27 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 3-7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 11 | - |
| D. Jones | 27 | 4-10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | - |
| L. Hurdle | 23 | 0-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -4 | - |
| J. Dews | 21 | 2-6 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| A. Thomas | 21 | 4-7 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 5 | - |
| B. Asbury | 18 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| J. Graham | 16 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 9 | - |
| C. McGowan | 14 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 2-3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 7 | - |
| J. Gamble | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Hansbrough | 33 | 8-18 | 0-1 | 8-9 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 24 | 11 | - |
| D. Green | 31 | 4-9 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 12 | 15 | - |
| W. Ellington | 31 | 8-14 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 13 | - |
| T. Lawson | 31 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 3-3 | 1 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 13 | - |
| D. Thompson | 29 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | - |
| E. Davis | 16 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 11 | - |
| B. Frasor | 13 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | - |
| W. Graves | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -1 | - |
| L. Drew II | 7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
| M. Copeland | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| J. Watts | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter