🐻⬇️🏀

@
2009-01-17

Model Predictions

Model Ohio State Buckeyes Michigan Wolverines Spread Result
Elo 26.9% 73.1% -
Bradley-Terry 49.3% 50.7% -
Margin 40.9% 59.1% +2.0 (9.0 off)
Pythagorean 52.5% 47.5% -
Efficiency 60.7% 39.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 56.0% 44.0% -
Log Adjusted 55.8% 44.2% -

Actual: Michigan Wolverines -7 (58-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Ohio State Buckeyes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
E. Turner 39 4-12 0-0 11-14 8 6 1 0 5 19 17 -
W. Buford 36 6-10 1-4 2-3 5 2 4 0 1 15 15 -
J. Diebler 32 1-4 1-4 0-0 3 3 1 0 0 3 6 -
B. Mullens 26 7-9 0-0 1-1 6 0 0 3 2 15 13 -
J. Simmons 22 3-4 1-2 0-0 1 4 0 0 2 7 6 -
D. Lauderdale 21 2-3 0-0 0-2 4 0 0 1 1 4 5 -
P.J. Hill 17 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
K. Madsen 7 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 2 1 -

Michigan Wolverines

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Z. Novak 37 1-4 1-4 2-3 4 1 0 0 1 5 5 -
M. Harris 37 7-16 3-6 4-4 7 6 0 0 4 21 14 -
D. Sims 32 4-13 0-0 2-3 6 0 0 1 1 10 3 -
K. Grady 27 2-5 1-4 0-0 0 3 2 0 1 5 4 -
L. Lucas-Perry 26 1-5 0-4 0-1 2 1 0 0 3 2 -3 -
S. Douglass 21 4-9 4-9 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 12 4 -
Z. Gibson 8 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
D. Merritt 6 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
C.J. Lee 6 1-2 1-2 0-0 0 2 1 0 0 3 4 -

* = starter