Model Predictions
| Model | Illinois Fighting Illini | Michigan State Spartans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 37.0% | 63.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 27.4% | 72.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 15.7% | 84.3% | +9.2 | ✓ (3.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.1% | 51.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 16.5% | 83.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 37.1% | 62.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 37.3% | 62.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Michigan State Spartans +6 (63-57). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Illinois Fighting Illini
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. McCamey | 34 | 0-9 | 0-7 | 3-4 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | - |
| M. Davis | 33 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 7 | - |
| C. Frazier | 32 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 13 | - |
| T. Meacham | 25 | 1-7 | 1-7 | 0-1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | - |
| A. Legion | 23 | 6-13 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 3 | - |
| C. Brock | 22 | 6-8 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 8 | - |
| M. Tisdale | 16 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 7 | - |
| D. Keller | 9 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | - |
| R. Semrau | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| J. Jordan | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Lucas | 34 | 3-13 | 0-3 | 4-4 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 0 | - |
| R. Morgan | 31 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 4-5 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 14 | - |
| T. Walton | 30 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 10 | - |
| C. Allen | 26 | 3-10 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | -1 | - |
| G. Suton | 26 | 5-8 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 10 | - |
| D. Roe | 16 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 8 | - |
| M. Gray | 15 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 10 | - |
| D. Summers | 9 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -3 | - |
| K. Lucious | 6 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | -2 | - |
| D. Green | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| I. Ibok | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter