Model Predictions
| Model | Pittsburgh Panthers | Louisville Cardinals | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 34.0% | 66.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 21.8% | 78.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 11.0% | 89.0% | +11.5 | ✓ (5.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.0% | 52.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 49.3% | 50.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 52.9% | 47.1% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 52.7% | 47.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Louisville Cardinals +6 (69-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Pittsburgh Panthers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Fields | 39 | 3-14 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 8 | -2 | - |
| T. Biggs | 32 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 11 | - |
| S. Young | 31 | 6-20 | 2-10 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 14 | -1 | - |
| J. Dixon | 31 | 6-10 | 3-4 | 4-7 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 14 | - |
| D. Blair | 20 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 12 | - |
| B. Wanamaker | 19 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 2-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | - |
| G. Brown | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - |
| A. Gibbs | 9 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| N. Robinson | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| G. McGhee | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Louisville Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Clark | 38 | 5-15 | 0-1 | 6-8 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 15 | - |
| S. Samuels | 31 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 9 | - |
| T. Williams | 29 | 7-12 | 3-4 | 3-5 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 17 | - |
| E. Sosa | 26 | 2-9 | 0-3 | 4-6 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 3 | - |
| P. Knowles | 23 | 3-6 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 8 | - |
| J. Smith | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| A. McGee | 14 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - |
| K. Kuric | 11 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| T. Jennings | 9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| J. Swopshire | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter