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2009-01-17

Model Predictions

Model Arkansas Razorbacks Florida Gators Spread Result
Elo 19.9% 80.1% -
Bradley-Terry 37.7% 62.3% -
Margin 27.1% 72.9% +5.4 (9.6 off)
Pythagorean 35.6% 64.4% -
Efficiency 17.3% 82.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 13.3% 86.7% -
Log Adjusted 13.2% 86.8% -

Actual: Florida Gators +15 (80-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Arkansas Razorbacks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Fortson 30 5-11 0-4 0-2 3 4 0 0 8 10 -2 -
M. Monk 28 4-8 0-0 2-4 5 1 0 0 1 10 7 -
M. Washington 26 8-11 0-0 5-6 8 1 1 1 3 21 18 -
J. Henry 23 2-5 0-2 1-1 4 2 1 0 0 5 7 -
M. Britt 23 3-4 1-1 2-2 2 3 0 0 0 9 10 -
S. Welsh 22 2-7 1-3 0-0 2 2 1 0 4 5 -1 -
R. Clarke 22 0-5 0-4 0-0 1 1 2 0 2 0 -3 -
M. Sanchez 17 2-2 0-0 1-1 0 0 1 0 1 5 3 -
B. Moore 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 2 1 0 0 4 -

Florida Gators

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
N. Calathes 37 11-18 6-10 0-1 10 7 1 0 4 28 24 -
C. Parsons 32 3-9 0-4 4-7 4 1 1 1 0 10 8 -
W. Hodge 30 1-6 1-5 0-0 3 3 1 0 1 3 3 -
E. Walker 28 5-10 3-8 0-0 0 1 2 0 0 13 6 -
K. Kadji 23 3-5 0-0 4-5 4 2 0 1 2 10 10 -
A. Tyus 19 4-9 0-0 3-5 6 0 0 0 3 11 5 -
D. Werner 16 2-5 1-3 0-0 5 2 0 0 2 5 5 -
R. Shipman 11 0-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
A. Chaney 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

* = starter