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2009-01-17

Model Predictions

Model Arizona Wildcats USC Trojans Spread Result
Elo 69.7% 30.3% -
Bradley-Terry 5.1% 94.9% -
Margin 37.9% 62.1% +2.7 (1.7 off)
Pythagorean 49.2% 50.8% -
Efficiency 18.4% 81.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 57.2% 42.8% -
Log Adjusted 57.1% 42.9% -

Actual: USC Trojans +1 (65-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Arizona Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
N. Wise 40 5-11 1-5 0-0 1 6 1 1 5 11 4 -
C. Budinger 36 6-10 3-6 4-6 7 3 0 0 2 19 17 -
J. Horne 33 3-8 1-2 1-2 7 0 2 0 0 8 9 -
J. Hill 31 5-10 0-0 4-6 6 1 0 1 1 14 11 -
Z. Johnson 26 2-2 2-2 0-0 1 2 0 0 0 6 7 -
A. Jacobson 15 2-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 4 3 -
K. Fogg 14 1-3 0-1 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 2 1 -
F. Onobun 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 0 1 -
B. Lavender 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

USC Trojans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Lewis 40 5-13 1-5 10-12 4 4 1 0 3 21 14 -
D. Hackett 38 4-10 2-5 1-4 2 3 1 0 2 11 5 -
T. Gibson 38 5-9 0-0 3-4 8 0 0 2 0 13 14 -
D. DeRozan 32 5-10 0-0 0-2 4 2 0 0 1 10 5 -
K. Wilkinson 26 2-4 1-3 0-0 7 1 0 0 1 5 8 -
L. Washington 16 2-4 0-0 1-1 3 0 0 0 0 5 4 -
M. Johnson 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 -
D. Smith 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -
M. Simmons 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 0 2 -

* = starter