Model Predictions
| Model | UC Santa Barbara Gauchos | Cal Poly Mustangs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 82.6% | 17.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 71.0% | 29.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 64.1% | 35.9% | -3.2 | ✓ (6.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 59.8% | 40.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 73.7% | 26.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 73.7% | 26.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 56.8% | 43.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Cal Poly Mustangs -10 (62-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UC Santa Barbara Gauchos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Devine | 35 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 10 | - |
| J. Nunnally | 31 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 7 | - |
| W. Brew | 26 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| D.J. Posley | 23 | 6-9 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 19 | - |
| J. Powell | 23 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 2-4 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 9 | - |
| J. Weiner | 19 | 4-8 | 4-8 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 8 | - |
| J. Serna | 18 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| G. Somogyi | 17 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 5 | - |
| S. Phippen | 8 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
Cal Poly Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Lewis | 34 | 6-12 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 14 | - |
| L. Keeler | 33 | 4-10 | 0-2 | 5-6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 2 | - |
| T. Shelton | 24 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 6 | - |
| W. Dipprey | 24 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 7 | - |
| C. Thomas | 24 | 5-13 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 2 | - |
| C. Anderson | 22 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| J. Brown | 16 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 4-5 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5 | - |
| D. Hanson | 11 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | - |
| J. Manley | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| B. Henning | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter