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2009-01-17

Model Predictions

Model Alabama Crimson Tide Auburn Tigers Spread Result
Elo 26.5% 73.5% +6.8 โœ“ (7.2 off)
Bradley-Terry 29.7% 70.3% - โœ“
Margin 20.3% 79.7% +7.5 โœ“ (6.5 off)
Pythagorean 40.3% 59.7% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 24.6% 75.4% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 24.5% 75.5% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 33.7% 66.3% - โœ“

Actual: Auburn Tigers +14 (85-71). Ratings: 2008-09 season-end ratings.

Alabama Crimson Tide

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Torrance 37 7-12 1-4 9-10 2 3 1 1 6 24 13 -
A. Steele 36 3-6 0-1 3-4 1 1 1 2 0 9 8 -
Alonzo Gee 36 2-12 1-4 5-8 8 0 0 0 1 10 5 -
S. Hillman 27 3-7 0-1 0-0 1 0 1 0 7 6 -6 -
Justin Knox 22 3-5 0-0 4-4 7 2 0 1 1 10 14 -
JaMychal Green 21 5-6 0-0 0-0 7 0 3 0 2 10 12 -
B. Hollinger 15 0-1 0-1 2-2 1 0 0 0 3 2 -1 -
Y. Coleman 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
D. Jemison 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

Auburn Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Reed 34 6-11 2-3 5-6 4 5 3 0 4 19 16 -
Quantez Robertson 32 1-4 0-2 1-2 6 7 4 0 2 3 14 -
K. Barber 29 8-13 0-0 2-4 9 4 0 2 0 18 20 -
T. Waller 29 7-10 6-8 2-2 0 1 2 0 2 22 13 -
R. Barrett 24 5-11 1-2 1-1 3 2 1 0 0 12 7 -
L. Hargrove 20 1-4 0-1 2-2 4 2 2 1 3 4 6 -
F. Sullivan 18 1-5 1-4 1-2 1 1 1 1 0 4 3 -
J. Lett 11 1-3 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 3 2 -4 -
B. Knox 3 0-0 0-0 1-2 1 0 0 0 0 1 2 -

* = starter