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2009-01-16

Model Predictions

Model Wright State Raiders Detroit Mercy Titans Spread Result
Elo 88.9% 11.1% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 78.8% 21.2% - โœ“
Margin 79.6% 20.4% -7.5 โœ“ (1.5 off)
Pythagorean 77.0% 23.0% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 92.0% 8.0% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 92.1% 7.9% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 65.8% 34.2% - โœ“

Actual: Detroit Mercy Titans -9 (51-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Wright State Raiders

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Gardner 34 6-11 1-4 4-5 4 3 2 0 0 17 15 -
T. Brown 29 5-10 3-5 1-3 3 1 1 0 0 14 9 -
N. Evans 28 3-7 1-4 2-2 2 2 2 0 1 9 7 -
R. Thomas 21 0-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 4 0 -5 -
G. Horne 20 1-2 0-1 0-0 3 0 0 1 0 2 4 -
W. Graham 18 0-0 0-0 1-2 1 1 1 0 2 1 2 -
C. Cooperwood 17 2-5 0-0 0-2 4 0 3 1 0 4 7 -
S. Grote 12 3-3 1-1 3-3 2 0 0 0 0 10 9 -
T. Tabler 11 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 0 1 2 2 -
C. Land 8 0-2 0-2 1-2 1 0 0 0 2 1 -2 -
K. Pressley 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Detroit Mercy Titans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Kennedy 37 8-13 0-3 1-2 10 2 0 2 3 17 15 -
W. Payne 31 3-10 0-0 0-0 2 6 2 0 2 6 4 -
N. Jokic 27 1-7 1-3 0-0 5 1 0 1 3 3 0 -
E. Stephens 25 6-10 0-1 0-1 1 2 0 0 3 12 2 -
E. Blue 20 2-2 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 2 4 4 -
D. Foster 19 2-6 1-3 1-4 0 1 1 0 1 6 1 -
M. Harrington 17 0-1 0-0 1-2 4 0 0 0 4 1 0 -
J. Bennett 14 1-3 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 1 1 2 3 -
J. Fee 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter