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2009-01-16

Model Predictions

Model Yale Bulldogs Brown Bears Spread Result
Elo 74.7% 25.3% -
Bradley-Terry 65.3% 34.7% -
Margin 66.9% 33.1% -3.9 (4.1 off)
Pythagorean 52.9% 47.1% -
Efficiency 93.6% 6.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 60.1% 39.9% -
Log Adjusted 60.2% 39.8% -

Actual: Brown Bears -8 (62-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Yale Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Zampier 34 7-11 1-4 4-4 2 3 0 0 2 19 11 -
T. Pinick 32 4-9 0-1 3-5 8 5 0 1 2 11 14 -
R. Morin 32 4-9 1-3 4-5 4 1 0 0 0 13 9 -
C. Andrews 26 2-8 1-3 4-4 4 1 0 0 1 9 5 -
G. Fiddler 20 3-4 0-0 1-1 6 1 0 1 2 7 9 -
P. Nelson 16 1-1 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 2 0 2 6 -
J. Gibson 15 2-4 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 1 4 1 -
P. Braswell 14 1-5 1-3 0-0 2 2 1 0 2 3 1 -
M. Sands 11 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 2 3 -

Brown Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
P. Sullivan 40 4-13 0-2 6-7 6 3 0 1 1 14 10 -
A. Williams 38 3-7 3-5 5-6 2 0 3 0 2 14 10 -
M. Mullery 38 9-16 0-1 5-9 8 1 1 2 2 23 17 -
S. Friske 37 3-5 0-0 0-0 8 5 1 1 5 6 11 -
C. Skrelja 35 2-12 0-2 1-4 6 2 1 0 1 5 1 -
S. Kane 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
C. Taylor 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
S. Gruber 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter