Model Predictions
| Model | Virginia Cavaliers | North Carolina Tar Heels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ELO | 22.3% | 77.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 21.1% | 78.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 15.4% | 84.6% | +9.4 | ✓ (19.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 39.0% | 61.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels +29 (103-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Virginia Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Hartig | 0 | -2 | - | - | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | |||
| L. Littles | 0 | 8-17 | 1-1 | 4-6 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 21 | 5 | ||
| A. Mohammed | 0 | 3-7 | - | 7-11 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 15 | |
| M. Wright | 0 | 10-21 | 1-3 | 3-6 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 24 | 6 | |
| Player #5400 | 0 | 1-3 | -1 | 1-4 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8 |
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Breland | 0 | 4-11 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 11 | 6 | |
| M. Wood | 0 | - | - | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 5 | |||
| R. Mccants | 0 | 9-14 | 2-4 | 3-5 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 23 | 21 | |
| I. Lucas | 0 | 5-15 | 3-7 | 3-3 | 6 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 13 | |
| C. DeGraffenreid | 0 | 3-8 | -1 | 8-8 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 19 |
* = starter