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2009-01-15

Model Predictions

Model Morehead State Eagles Southeast Missouri State Redhawks Spread Result
Elo 94.4% 5.6% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 89.3% 10.7% - โœ“
Margin 91.2% 8.8% -12.9 โœ“ (6.9 off)
Pythagorean 81.5% 18.5% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 92.4% 7.6% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 92.4% 7.6% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 75.6% 24.4% - โœ“

Actual: Southeast Missouri State Redhawks -6 (67-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Morehead State Eagles

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
L. Buchanan 39 7-12 0-0 6-7 8 1 1 0 3 20 15 -
D. Harper 35 6-14 1-3 5-5 8 1 1 1 2 18 13 -
B. Shingles 35 1-2 0-0 5-6 1 2 0 0 3 7 5 -
K. Faried 32 7-10 0-0 0-4 14 1 3 0 3 14 19 -
R. Murry 22 1-5 0-1 4-5 0 2 1 0 2 6 2 -
T. Hill 15 1-6 1-3 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 3 -2 -
S. Peterson 12 1-3 0-0 2-2 1 0 1 0 0 4 3 -
C. Brown 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
D. Echols 2 0-0 0-0 1-2 1 0 0 0 0 1 2 -
A. Coleman 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Southeast Missouri State Redhawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Herring 40 6-19 0-3 6-8 6 2 1 1 5 18 4 -
K. Moore 39 13-22 4-12 1-2 1 3 4 0 0 31 17 -
J. Hill 36 1-5 0-0 4-4 6 0 2 0 2 6 7 -
L. Russell 28 1-1 0-0 0-0 5 2 0 0 2 2 6 -
J. Maxwell 21 2-6 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 4 -2 -
B. Jones 19 1-2 0-0 2-4 2 4 1 0 3 4 6 -
I. Kirk 17 1-2 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 2 3 -

* = starter