Model Predictions
| Model | San Francisco Dons | Portland Pilots | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 71.7% | 28.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 8.0% | 92.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 0.0% | 100.0% | +49.0 | ✓ (31.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 15.8% | 84.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 2.2% | 97.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 4.4% | 95.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 4.2% | 95.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Portland Pilots +18 (78-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Francisco Dons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Lowhorn | 32 | 9-13 | 1-1 | 3-7 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 15 | - |
| D. Bryant | 30 | 1-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | - |
| A. Caloiaro | 25 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| M. Quezada | 21 | 3-8 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 9 | 4 | - |
| P. Smith | 18 | 5-8 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 7 | - |
| B. Wallace | 16 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| K. Vaughn | 16 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| C. Hernandez | 13 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| C. O'Brien | 12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - |
| J. Morgan | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | - |
| H. Taylor | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
Portland Pilots
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Raivio | 34 | 4-13 | 2-8 | 7-8 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 16 | - |
| T.J. Campbell | 31 | 4-9 | 3-7 | 2-2 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 8 | - |
| J. Stohl | 27 | 9-14 | 9-13 | 6-6 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 33 | 21 | - |
| R. Smeulders | 25 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 12 | - |
| L. Sikma | 19 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 3 | - |
| K. Knutson | 17 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| J. Hannibal | 14 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| B.J. Porter | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| E. Waterford | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | - |
| T. Ito | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| E. Niedermeyer | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| N. Mitrovic | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter