🐻⬇️🏀

@
2009-01-15

Model Predictions

Model San Francisco Dons Portland Pilots Spread Result
Elo 71.7% 28.3% -
Bradley-Terry 8.0% 92.0% -
Margin 0.0% 100.0% +49.0 (31.0 off)
Pythagorean 15.8% 84.2% -
Efficiency 2.2% 97.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 4.4% 95.6% -
Log Adjusted 4.2% 95.8% -

Actual: Portland Pilots +18 (78-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.

San Francisco Dons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Lowhorn 32 9-13 1-1 3-7 5 1 2 0 2 22 15 -
D. Bryant 30 1-6 1-2 0-0 3 2 3 0 4 3 1 -
A. Caloiaro 25 0-3 0-3 0-0 3 2 0 1 0 0 3 -
M. Quezada 21 3-8 1-5 2-2 5 3 0 0 5 9 4 -
P. Smith 18 5-8 3-6 0-0 0 2 1 0 1 13 7 -
B. Wallace 16 1-4 0-2 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 2 1 -
K. Vaughn 16 2-5 0-1 0-0 2 2 0 0 0 4 3 -
C. Hernandez 13 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
C. O'Brien 12 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 2 2 1 -
J. Morgan 11 1-1 0-0 1-3 3 0 2 0 2 3 5 -
H. Taylor 6 0-0 0-0 2-2 2 0 0 0 0 2 4 -

Portland Pilots

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
N. Raivio 34 4-13 2-8 7-8 7 4 3 0 2 17 16 -
T.J. Campbell 31 4-9 3-7 2-2 2 6 0 1 5 13 8 -
J. Stohl 27 9-14 9-13 6-6 1 2 1 0 2 33 21 -
R. Smeulders 25 3-4 0-0 1-2 7 1 1 1 1 7 12 -
L. Sikma 19 1-2 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 1 3 2 3 -
K. Knutson 17 2-3 0-0 0-1 2 1 0 1 0 4 5 -
J. Hannibal 14 0-2 0-0 0-2 2 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
B.J. Porter 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 0 2 -
E. Waterford 8 0-0 0-0 0-1 1 2 1 0 2 0 2 -
T. Ito 8 0-0 0-0 2-2 0 1 1 0 1 2 3 -
E. Niedermeyer 4 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
N. Mitrovic 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter