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2009-01-15

Model Predictions

Model Washington Huskies Oregon Ducks Spread Result
Elo 52.2% 47.8% -
Bradley-Terry 31.3% 68.7% -
Margin 27.0% 73.0% +5.5 (22.5 off)
Pythagorean 76.0% 24.0% -
Efficiency 95.4% 4.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 93.6% 6.4% -
Log Adjusted 93.6% 6.4% -

Actual: Oregon Ducks -17 (67-84). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Washington Huskies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
I. Thomas 35 6-16 4-9 7-7 6 3 3 0 3 23 16 -
J. Dentmon 32 8-16 2-5 4-8 6 4 2 0 3 22 15 -
J. Brockman 32 4-12 0-0 2-5 10 1 4 0 2 10 11 -
Q. Pondexter 31 7-9 0-0 1-2 9 3 4 0 4 15 18 -
D. Gant 24 2-4 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 0 4 3 -
J. Holiday 16 0-0 0-0 1-2 1 0 0 0 2 1 0 -
M. Bryan-Amaning 16 3-5 0-0 1-2 3 1 0 0 0 7 6 -
V. Overton 14 1-3 0-1 0-0 2 3 0 0 1 2 3 -

Oregon Ducks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Catron 32 4-9 0-1 4-6 10 2 1 0 2 12 14 -
T. Porter 31 3-12 2-8 1-2 2 1 0 0 3 9 -3 -
M. Dunigan 29 5-14 0-0 1-3 8 2 1 4 0 11 12 -
L. Longmire 29 4-10 2-5 0-0 2 0 1 0 1 10 2 -
G. Sim 21 4-6 1-2 2-3 2 2 1 1 4 11 7 -
K. Brown 19 1-2 0-0 7-8 4 4 3 0 8 9 10 -
J. Crittle 10 1-3 0-0 1-2 3 0 1 1 0 3 5 -
M. Humphrey 10 0-1 0-1 0-2 1 2 0 1 1 0 2 -
C. Odia 9 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
T. Williams 9 0-1 0-1 2-2 0 0 1 1 1 2 2 -
D. Wiley 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter