Model Predictions
| Model | Boise State Broncos | Nevada Wolf Pack | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 39.1% | 60.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 52.9% | 47.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 49.1% | 50.9% | +0.2 | ✓ (13.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 37.2% | 62.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 95.8% | 4.2% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 12.9% | 87.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 12.7% | 87.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Nevada Wolf Pack +14 (77-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Boise State Broncos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Thomas | 35 | 4-10 | 3-6 | 2-5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 5 | - |
| M. Sanchez | 29 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 11 | - |
| J. Greene | 25 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 5 | - |
| P. Noonan | 25 | 2-8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | - |
| L. Anderson | 24 | 6-10 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 6 | - |
| K. Cunningham | 18 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 1 | - |
| I. Okoye | 18 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | - |
| S. Imadiyi | 12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - |
| A. Garner | 9 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| S. Rouse | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
Nevada Wolf Pack
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Babbitt | 35 | 5-11 | 0-1 | 8-10 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 18 | 19 | - |
| A. Johnson | 34 | 9-17 | 0-3 | 7-9 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 25 | 16 | - |
| M. Cooke | 28 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 10 | - |
| L. Burleson | 23 | 2-6 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| D. Hunt | 21 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | - |
| B. Fields | 19 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| R. Phillips | 17 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-3 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 3 | - |
| J. Shaw | 16 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 7 | - |
| A. Phillips | 3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| L. Giles | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| R. Kraemer | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter