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2009-01-15

Model Predictions

Model Santa Clara Broncos Gonzaga Bulldogs Spread Result
Elo 12.7% 87.3% -
Bradley-Terry 9.1% 90.9% -
Margin 2.6% 97.4% +19.9 (22.1 off)
Pythagorean 25.2% 74.8% -
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Log Adjusted 1.0% 99.0% -

Actual: Gonzaga Bulldogs +42 (95-53). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Santa Clara Broncos

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Johnson 31 1-3 1-3 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 3 2 -
J. Bryant 27 5-12 0-0 2-3 11 1 0 0 1 12 11 -
M. Trasolini 27 2-5 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 2 4 0 -
K. Foster 25 3-12 1-7 1-2 2 1 0 0 1 8 -2 -
J. Rahon 23 5-9 2-4 2-2 1 0 0 0 1 14 5 -
P. Petty 20 3-5 2-4 0-4 2 2 0 0 6 8 1 -
S. Thompson 13 0-2 0-0 1-2 0 2 1 0 0 1 2 -
M. Santos 12 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 4 0 -4 -
D. White 10 0-3 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -4 -
B. Dowdell 10 1-3 0-0 1-2 3 0 1 0 0 3 4 -
N. Mensah 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

Gonzaga Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Bouldin 28 6-9 2-3 2-4 5 4 2 0 1 16 17 -
J. Pargo 28 5-10 0-2 1-1 5 8 1 0 3 11 12 -
S. Gray 27 6-11 3-7 0-0 3 4 2 1 2 15 12 -
J. Heytvelt 25 4-9 0-1 3-4 6 0 0 0 0 11 8 -
M. Downs 24 3-5 1-1 2-2 3 3 2 3 0 9 15 -
A. Daye 17 8-10 1-1 3-3 7 0 0 1 1 20 17 -
I. Brown 16 2-4 0-2 0-0 3 0 3 0 0 4 6 -
D. Goodson 14 0-0 0-0 3-6 2 1 1 0 1 3 6 -
W. Foster 12 1-3 0-0 1-2 3 0 0 1 2 3 2 -
A. Sorenson 7 1-3 1-3 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 0 -
C. Pontarolo-Maag 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter