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2009-01-15

Model Predictions

Model UL Monroe Warhawks Arkansas State Red Wolves Spread Result
Elo 1.3% 98.7% -
Bradley-Terry 24.5% 75.5% -
Margin 17.7% 82.3% +8.4 (5.4 off)

Actual: Arkansas State Red Wolves +3 (65-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.

UL Monroe Warhawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Hill 33 1-5 1-3 2-2 2 3 0 0 2 5 3 -
R. Turner 33 2-12 0-0 2-4 14 2 0 2 5 6 7 -
K. Averette 30 2-5 0-1 2-2 1 7 1 0 5 6 5 -
L. Gilbert 28 3-13 2-6 2-2 6 1 1 1 0 10 6 -
M. Thomas 28 8-12 4-6 0-0 2 1 1 0 0 20 12 -
D. Forbes 19 4-7 4-6 1-4 4 1 2 0 0 13 13 -
A. Nweke 12 1-2 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 0 0 2 5 -
B. Williams 11 0-1 0-0 0-1 1 1 1 0 1 0 1 -
M. Hampton 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -2 -

Arkansas State Red Wolves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Boone 37 3-8 0-3 0-0 5 6 3 0 1 6 11 -
E. McKinney 33 6-11 0-0 5-7 15 0 0 4 4 17 21 -
S. Morgan 28 8-11 0-0 3-3 9 2 1 0 0 19 20 -
I. Koggu 23 1-2 0-1 3-6 1 2 2 0 2 5 6 -
P.J. Keaton 21 2-5 1-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 5 -1 -
D. Bryant 17 1-8 0-2 0-0 2 3 2 0 0 2 1 -
Y. Chia-Kur 13 1-5 0-2 1-2 0 1 0 0 1 3 -2 -
J. Brown 11 1-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 2 1 -
M. Lance 9 1-3 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 1 1 3 0 -
J. Thomas 8 1-1 0-0 1-2 1 1 0 0 1 3 3 -

* = starter