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2009-01-15

Model Predictions

Model Tennessee Lady Volunteers Mississippi State Bulldogs Spread Result
Elo 56.9% 43.1% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 50.7% 49.3% - โœ“
Margin 44.3% 55.7% +1.3 โœ— (8.3 off)
Pythagorean 42.2% 57.8% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 52.7% 47.3% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 52.2% 47.8% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 46.6% 53.4% - โœ—

Actual: Mississippi State Bulldogs -7 (56-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Tennessee Lady Volunteers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Bjorklund 0 5-11 3-5 1-2 4 4 3 0 3 14 11 -
A. Fuller 0 2-4 0-0 2-2 9 1 2 0 0 6 14 -
S. Stricklen 0 2-11 1-2 10-10 7 4 3 1 4 15 15 -
G. Johnson 0 1-7 0-0 1-4 8 0 0 0 3 3 1 -
B. Bass 0 2-7 1-2 0-0 0 0 1 0 1 5 -2 -

Mississippi State Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Porter 0 5-11 0-0 2-2 9 0 0 2 0 12 12 -
A. Rack 0 6-17 3-9 0-0 3 3 0 0 1 15 3 -
C. Mokango 0 5-9 0-0 5-6 7 2 0 7 2 15 20 -
D. Dmitrovic 0 2-12 0-0 1-2 5 3 0 0 5 5 -4 -
M. Govero 0 0-3 0-1 1-2 2 1 1 1 6 1 -3 -

* = starter