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Purdue Boilermakers 63
@
Northwestern Wildcats 61
2009-01-15

Model Predictions

Model Purdue Boilermakers Northwestern Wildcats Spread Result
Elo 92.6% 7.4% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 60.7% 39.3% - ✓
Margin 59.1% 40.9% -2.0 ✓ (0.0 off)
Pythagorean 49.2% 50.8% - ✗
Efficiency 83.5% 16.5% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 76.0% 24.0% - ✓
Log Adjusted 76.0% 24.0% - ✓

Actual: Northwestern Wildcats -2 (61-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Purdue Boilermakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
E. Moore 33 2-8 1-3 3-3 11 3 0 2 7 8 9 -
R. Hummel 33 5-9 2-5 3-4 9 4 1 1 3 15 18 -
K. Grant 32 3-7 2-5 0-1 1 5 0 3 4 8 6 -
J. Johnson 27 4-8 0-0 5-8 9 0 0 7 0 13 21 -
C. Kramer 26 4-5 0-0 4-5 3 3 1 1 2 12 13 -
L. Jackson 18 0-2 0-0 0-0 0 2 0 0 3 0 -3 -
M. Green 17 1-3 1-2 0-0 5 0 1 0 2 3 4 -
N. Calasan 14 2-4 0-1 0-1 3 0 0 0 1 4 2 -

Northwestern Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Moore 38 4-14 4-9 4-6 6 4 0 2 0 16 14 -
K. Coble 37 6-15 1-1 3-4 2 0 2 1 1 16 5 -
J. Nash 28 1-6 0-1 1-2 0 1 3 0 1 3 0 -
M. Thompson 25 2-6 1-2 1-3 1 3 2 0 1 6 5 -
I. Peljusic 21 3-5 1-2 0-0 6 4 0 0 3 7 9 -
J. Ryan 20 0-2 0-0 3-4 2 1 2 0 0 3 6 -
L. Mirkovic 16 3-4 1-1 1-1 4 3 0 1 1 8 11 -
S. Williams 9 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
J. Shurna 3 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 -
K. Rowley 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -

* = starter