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2009-01-15

Model Predictions

Model Troy Trojans South Alabama Jaguars Spread Result
Elo 55.6% 44.4% -
Bradley-Terry 45.1% 54.9% -
Margin 39.6% 60.4% +2.3 (26.3 off)

Actual: South Alabama Jaguars -24 (70-94). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Troy Trojans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Delk 35 7-13 1-5 2-3 7 6 3 1 1 17 20 -
M. Vogler 27 3-7 1-2 0-0 6 8 2 1 1 7 16 -
K. Ware 25 6-10 6-8 2-2 6 1 1 0 0 20 18 -
B. Hazzard 25 5-9 4-6 0-0 2 2 2 0 3 14 8 -
A. Jones 23 1-4 0-0 0-0 4 3 2 1 1 2 7 -
T. Jervis 17 4-5 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 8 6 -
M. Telfair 16 1-2 0-0 8-10 1 0 0 0 0 10 9 -
T. Lee 14 4-7 3-5 0-0 3 1 0 0 1 11 7 -
J. Williams 12 1-3 1-3 2-2 1 2 1 0 3 5 3 -
R. Huddleston 6 0-3 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -3 -

South Alabama Jaguars

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Tilford 31 4-12 1-5 2-2 1 4 2 0 3 11 3 -
B. Sherrer 30 4-8 1-1 5-5 2 2 1 0 1 14 10 -
B. Davis 21 2-6 0-0 3-4 7 1 0 1 2 7 8 -
D. Coleman 21 4-7 0-0 1-4 6 1 0 1 1 9 9 -
R. Douglas 19 2-4 0-0 6-9 6 0 0 3 1 10 14 -
P. Tabet 18 0-3 0-0 1-2 4 1 1 0 1 1 3 -
C.J. Garner 17 2-3 0-0 0-0 0 2 0 0 1 4 2 -
D. Ross 16 1-5 0-2 1-2 1 2 0 0 1 3 0 -
L. Watson 12 1-5 1-2 0-0 3 0 0 0 2 3 -1 -
B.J. Ford 10 2-3 2-3 0-0 3 0 1 0 0 6 7 -
C. Tabet 5 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 2 2 -

* = starter