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Drake Bulldogs 61
@
Illinois State Redbirds 65
2009-01-14

Model Predictions

Model Drake Bulldogs Illinois State Redbirds Spread Result
Elo 41.7% 58.3% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 50.1% 49.9% - ✗
Margin 46.2% 53.8% +0.8 ✓ (3.2 off)
Pythagorean 27.5% 72.5% - ✓
Efficiency 84.0% 16.0% - ✗
Adjusted Efficiency 6.5% 93.5% - ✓
Log Adjusted 6.4% 93.6% - ✓

Actual: Illinois State Redbirds +4 (65-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Drake Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Stanley 37 4-6 0-1 2-2 3 5 2 1 2 10 13 -
J. Cox 35 2-6 2-5 0-0 10 0 0 0 1 6 9 -
J. Young 32 3-11 2-5 4-4 1 3 1 0 4 12 2 -
A. Templeton 30 4-8 2-6 2-2 3 0 1 1 1 12 8 -
J. Parker 25 3-7 2-3 0-0 4 1 0 1 4 8 3 -
B. Heemskerk 19 2-4 1-1 0-0 2 0 0 2 0 5 5 -
J. Hall 13 4-6 0-2 0-0 1 2 1 0 2 8 4 -
J. Baryenbruch 4 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 -
A. White 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 -
B. Eaddy 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

Illinois State Redbirds

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Oguchi 38 9-24 7-15 4-4 8 2 4 1 1 29 19 -
O. Eldridge 37 4-10 3-7 0-2 2 1 0 0 3 11 1 -
L. Phillips 34 1-6 1-3 2-2 5 3 2 0 3 5 6 -
D. Odiakosa 30 4-6 0-0 2-2 10 2 1 1 0 10 18 -
E. Holloway 27 2-6 1-1 3-4 4 3 2 0 1 8 10 -
B. Sampay 16 1-5 0-0 0-0 4 1 1 0 0 2 3 -
S. Odzic 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
A. Rubin 8 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 2 0 0 1 0 0 -

* = starter