Model Predictions
| Model | Michigan Wolverines | Illinois Fighting Illini | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 33.2% | 66.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 53.6% | 46.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 56.2% | 43.8% | -1.4 | ✗ (16.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 37.5% | 62.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 28.0% | 72.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 31.9% | 68.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 31.9% | 68.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Illinois Fighting Illini +15 (66-51). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Michigan Wolverines
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Harris | 34 | 7-13 | 3-5 | 3-4 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 13 | - |
| Z. Novak | 33 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 9 | - |
| D. Sims | 31 | 3-14 | 0-4 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 7 | -1 | - |
| K. Grady | 30 | 2-8 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | - |
| L. Lucas-Perry | 27 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 2-4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 1 | - |
| C.J. Lee | 14 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| S. Douglass | 12 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -2 | - |
| D. Merritt | 10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Z. Gibson | 9 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| J. Shepherd | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Illinois Fighting Illini
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Frazier | 34 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 4 | - |
| T. Meacham | 34 | 2-9 | 1-5 | 6-7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 9 | - |
| M. Tisdale | 34 | 10-12 | 1-1 | 3-5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 24 | 16 | - |
| D. McCamey | 33 | 6-9 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 14 | - |
| M. Davis | 25 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | - |
| C. Brock | 19 | 2-7 | 1-1 | 3-6 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 6 | - |
| J. Jordan | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| A. Legion | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| D. Keller | 4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter