🐻⬇️🏀

@
2009-01-14

Model Predictions

Model Michigan Wolverines Illinois Fighting Illini Spread Result
Elo 33.2% 66.8% -
Bradley-Terry 53.6% 46.4% -
Margin 56.2% 43.8% -1.4 (16.4 off)
Pythagorean 37.5% 62.5% -
Efficiency 28.0% 72.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 31.9% 68.1% -
Log Adjusted 31.9% 68.1% -

Actual: Illinois Fighting Illini +15 (66-51). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Michigan Wolverines

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Harris 34 7-13 3-5 3-4 5 3 0 0 2 20 13 -
Z. Novak 33 2-4 1-3 0-0 9 0 0 0 1 5 9 -
D. Sims 31 3-14 0-4 1-1 2 0 2 3 1 7 -1 -
K. Grady 30 2-8 1-5 0-0 4 2 0 0 2 5 1 -
L. Lucas-Perry 27 2-7 1-4 2-4 1 1 1 1 3 7 1 -
C.J. Lee 14 0-2 0-1 0-0 5 1 0 0 0 0 4 -
S. Douglass 12 1-5 1-4 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 3 -2 -
D. Merritt 10 0-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -3 -
Z. Gibson 9 2-4 0-0 0-0 2 0 2 0 0 4 4 -
J. Shepherd 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Illinois Fighting Illini

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Frazier 34 1-3 0-1 0-0 5 2 3 1 6 2 4 -
T. Meacham 34 2-9 1-5 6-7 5 2 0 0 0 11 9 -
M. Tisdale 34 10-12 1-1 3-5 2 0 0 3 1 24 16 -
D. McCamey 33 6-9 3-6 2-2 3 5 0 0 2 17 14 -
M. Davis 25 0-2 0-0 2-2 7 2 0 0 0 2 9 -
C. Brock 19 2-7 1-1 3-6 6 0 1 0 2 8 6 -
J. Jordan 10 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
A. Legion 7 0-1 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 0 3 -
D. Keller 4 0-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -

* = starter