Model Predictions
| Model | Alabama Crimson Tide | Mississippi State Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 73.7% | 26.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 39.9% | 60.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 33.9% | 66.1% | +3.7 | ✓ (5.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 31.7% | 68.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 21.7% | 78.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 14.1% | 85.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 14.1% | 85.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Mississippi State Bulldogs +9 (83-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Alabama Crimson Tide
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Hillman | 34 | 6-15 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 12 | -1 | - |
| A. Gee | 34 | 7-17 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 4 | - |
| J. Green | 31 | 5-12 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 7 | - |
| B. Hollinger | 31 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 1 | - |
| M. Torrance | 22 | 6-9 | 2-3 | 6-6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 15 | - |
| J. Knox | 22 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| A. Steele | 21 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Y. Coleman | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
Mississippi State Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Stewart | 35 | 4-7 | 4-5 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 14 | - |
| D. Bost | 30 | 3-11 | 1-5 | 6-10 | 2 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 12 | - |
| R. Johnson | 29 | 3-9 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 1 | - |
| J. Varnado | 27 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 17 | - |
| P. Turner | 23 | 6-9 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 17 | 16 | - |
| R. Osby | 17 | 4-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 9 | - |
| R. Benock | 16 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
| E. Bailey | 13 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 4 | - |
| T. Beckham | 10 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
* = starter