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2009-01-14

Model Predictions

Model Lamar Cardinals UT Arlington Mavericks Spread Result
Elo 15.4% 84.6% -
Bradley-Terry 26.9% 73.1% -
Margin 16.8% 83.2% +8.8 (2.2 off)
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -

Actual: UT Arlington Mavericks +11 (94-83). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Lamar Cardinals

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. McThay 40 5-10 3-7 7-9 5 1 0 0 3 20 13 -
K. Dawkins 40 3-10 2-7 10-10 1 4 0 0 7 18 6 -
T. Worrell 35 4-8 0-0 5-6 10 1 1 1 2 13 16 -
J. Brown 33 5-11 1-3 7-10 7 2 0 2 1 18 17 -
A. Hall 25 3-6 0-0 2-4 5 1 1 0 1 8 8 -
A. Miles 11 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 0 0 -
C. Harper 9 2-3 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 4 4 -
S. Mahoney 4 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
C. Custer 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
M. Pace 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
B. Ybarra 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

UT Arlington Mavericks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Haynes 33 4-10 2-3 6-6 2 3 1 0 1 16 11 -
R. Guignard 31 7-16 5-11 1-2 2 4 1 0 1 20 10 -
B. Long 31 7-13 3-6 1-2 5 2 0 0 0 18 12 -
A. Vereen 27 6-12 0-3 7-8 6 3 0 0 2 19 14 -
J. Smith 25 2-3 1-1 0-0 1 5 2 0 4 5 6 -
J.D. Davis 18 2-4 0-0 1-1 5 1 0 0 0 5 7 -
T. Moffitt 11 0-2 0-0 1-2 1 1 0 0 0 1 1 -
T. Parker 10 0-1 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 0 1 0 3 -
L. Reed III 6 2-2 0-0 2-3 0 0 0 0 0 6 4 -
I. Awange 3 0-0 0-0 2-3 2 0 0 0 0 2 4 -
D. Gentry II 3 1-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 2 -1 -
J. DeWalt 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter