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2009-01-14

Model Predictions

Model South Carolina Gamecocks LSU Tigers Spread Result
Elo 27.1% 72.9% -
Bradley-Terry 49.2% 50.8% -
Margin 43.2% 56.8% +1.5 (15.5 off)
Pythagorean 50.3% 49.7% -
Efficiency 68.7% 31.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 52.1% 47.9% -
Log Adjusted 52.2% 47.8% -

Actual: LSU Tigers +17 (85-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.

South Carolina Gamecocks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Downey 32 7-19 3-5 1-3 1 3 1 0 8 18 -4 -
Z. Fredrick 32 7-12 1-3 3-7 2 3 0 0 3 18 8 -
D. Archie 32 7-14 0-2 3-6 11 1 0 0 0 17 15 -
E. Baniulis 30 2-5 2-3 0-1 5 0 4 0 3 6 7 -
B. Raley-Ross 24 1-3 0-1 0-1 0 1 0 0 2 2 -2 -
M. Holmes 18 2-6 0-0 0-1 4 0 0 0 1 4 1 -
S. Muldrow 15 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 2 0 2 5 -
A. Steed 9 0-0 0-0 1-2 3 0 1 0 1 1 4 -
R. Wilder 7 0-0 0-0 0-1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
M. Carter 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

LSU Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Mitchell 37 10-15 0-0 10-13 14 2 1 2 5 30 29 -
G. Temple 34 2-7 0-1 6-6 7 3 3 1 3 10 14 -
B. Spencer 28 3-7 1-1 3-3 1 3 5 0 4 10 8 -
M. Thornton 23 4-7 1-4 0-0 1 1 1 0 2 9 3 -
Q. Thornton 22 3-4 0-0 1-4 6 2 0 2 1 7 12 -
T. Martin 21 1-2 0-0 5-6 2 2 0 0 0 7 9 -
C. Johnson 19 4-6 0-0 1-1 6 4 1 4 1 9 17 -
C. Bass 12 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 1 1 0 0 1 -
A. Farrer 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -
S. Warren 1 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -
D. Graham 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Z. Kinsley 1 0-0 0-0 1-2 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 -

* = starter