Model Predictions
| Model | UNLV Rebels | Colorado State Rams | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 82.0% | 18.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 78.0% | 22.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 77.3% | 22.7% | -6.7 | ✗ (8.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 65.8% | 34.2% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 85.5% | 14.5% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 85.6% | 14.4% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 64.2% | 35.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Colorado State Rams +2 (71-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UNLV Rebels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W. Adams | 37 | 6-10 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 14 | 6 | - |
| J. Darger | 34 | 7-9 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 20 | 17 | - |
| R. Rougeau | 30 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 7 | - |
| D. Santee | 28 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 2 | - |
| T. Willis | 26 | 2-12 | 1-4 | 4-6 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 6 | - |
| O. Bellfield | 17 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | - |
| B. Massamba | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| K. Wallace | 9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| M. Rutledge | 3 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | - |
| R. Ketchum | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| S. Hoffman | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| D. Mitchell | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Colorado State Rams
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. McFarland | 34 | 3-8 | 1-5 | 3-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 2 | - |
| A. Ogide | 33 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 13 | - |
| W. Gardner | 32 | 4-8 | 0-2 | 3-3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 8 | - |
| A. Nigon | 30 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 2-4 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 11 | - |
| J. Carr | 27 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 8 | - |
| M. Walker | 19 | 4-12 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | -3 | - |
| H. Perry | 16 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 7 | - |
| T. Franklin | 9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter