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2009-01-14

Model Predictions

Model Florida Gators Auburn Tigers Spread Result
Elo 28.7% 71.3% +6.0 โœ— (9.0 off)
Bradley-Terry 45.5% 54.5% - โœ—
Margin 49.1% 50.9% +0.2 โœ— (3.2 off)
Pythagorean 49.9% 50.1% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 59.2% 40.8% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 59.1% 40.9% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 49.4% 50.6% - โœ—

Actual: Auburn Tigers -3 (65-68). Ratings: 2008-09 season-end ratings.

RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.

Florida Gators

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Nick Calathes * 37 6-16 2-8 3-6 9 5 2 0 6 17 11 -
Alex Tyus * 30 5-9 0-0 4-4 12 0 1 1 3 14 16 -
Walter Hodge * 28 2-5 1-3 0-0 1 1 0 0 3 5 -1 -
Dan Werner * 26 2-7 0-2 2-2 1 0 1 0 0 6 1 -
Chandler Parsons * 23 2-8 0-5 0-0 6 3 0 0 2 4 3 -
Erving Walker 22 3-7 2-5 1-3 2 2 0 0 1 9 5 -
Ray Shipman 16 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 -
Kenny Kadji 16 5-9 0-0 1-2 8 0 0 2 2 11 10 -
Eloy Vargas 2 0-1 0-0 2-2 2 0 0 0 0 2 3 -

Auburn Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Lucas Hargrove * 32 5-9 0-2 1-2 8 1 3 2 1 11 15 -
Korvotney Barber * 32 7-9 0-0 0-1 7 0 0 2 2 14 12 -
DeWayne Reed * 32 3-11 3-8 4-6 1 4 2 2 3 13 8 -
Tay Waller * 30 3-13 1-8 2-2 6 2 1 0 0 9 5 -
Quantez Robertson * 29 1-4 0-1 0-6 4 2 2 0 3 2 3 -
Rasheem Barrett 27 6-14 1-6 2-2 5 0 0 1 3 15 4 -
Frankie Sullivan 11 0-2 0-2 1-2 1 0 2 0 1 1 1 -
Johnnie Lett 7 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter