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2009-01-13

Model Predictions

Model Kentucky Wildcats Tennessee Volunteers Spread Result
Elo 46.9% 53.1% -
Bradley-Terry 55.2% 44.8% -
Margin 45.6% 54.4% +1.0 (19.0 off)
Pythagorean 41.9% 58.1% -
Efficiency 10.0% 90.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 30.4% 69.6% -
Log Adjusted 30.2% 69.8% -

Actual: Tennessee Volunteers -18 (72-90). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Kentucky Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
P. Patterson 39 3-8 0-0 3-4 12 0 0 0 1 9 12 -
J. Meeks 39 15-22 10-15 14-14 8 4 1 0 1 54 44 -
M. Porter 33 2-4 1-2 0-0 0 6 0 0 3 5 4 -
P. Stevenson 28 3-6 0-0 0-0 4 2 1 0 1 6 6 -
R. Harris 24 3-3 0-0 1-2 5 3 2 0 2 7 12 -
D. Miller 21 3-6 1-2 0-0 3 1 0 2 5 7 2 -
K. Galloway 10 1-3 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 2 2 1 -
A.J. Stewart 6 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Tennessee Volunteers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Smith 35 5-14 2-5 7-7 2 0 0 0 0 19 7 -
W. Chism 30 7-13 0-3 4-6 9 1 3 0 3 18 15 -
B. Maze 27 5-12 1-6 0-0 2 2 1 0 3 11 1 -
C. Tatum 26 2-8 1-4 1-4 1 2 1 0 1 6 1 -
J.P. Prince 25 2-5 0-0 0-1 7 2 2 0 0 4 10 -
S. Hopson 24 1-6 1-3 2-2 2 2 0 0 0 5 3 -
B. Williams 15 3-5 1-1 2-6 6 0 0 1 1 9 10 -
J. Tabb 13 0-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 0 0 1 -
R. Woolridge 5 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter