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2009-01-13

Model Predictions

Model Northern Iowa Panthers Evansville Purple Aces Spread Result
Elo 60.1% 39.9% -
Bradley-Terry 66.3% 33.7% -
Margin 70.2% 29.8% -4.7 (6.3 off)
Pythagorean 68.0% 32.0% -
Efficiency 53.8% 46.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 75.7% 24.3% -
Log Adjusted 75.9% 24.1% -

Actual: Evansville Purple Aces -11 (47-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Northern Iowa Panthers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Koch 33 2-6 0-0 4-5 6 3 0 1 3 8 9 -
L. O'Rear 32 4-5 0-0 0-0 6 1 2 2 0 8 14 -
J. Moran 31 2-5 0-3 2-3 5 2 4 1 1 6 12 -
K. Ahelegbe 29 2-8 0-1 6-6 4 1 0 1 6 10 2 -
A. Farokhmanesh 27 3-6 2-5 3-4 1 0 1 0 1 11 6 -
K. Dunham 16 1-3 0-1 0-0 3 1 0 0 1 2 2 -
T. Brown 12 2-2 2-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 6 5 -
J. Eglseder 9 2-5 0-2 1-2 4 1 0 1 1 5 5 -
B. Haak 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
A. Rodenberg 5 1-3 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 2 -2 -

Evansville Purple Aces

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Ely 36 2-15 0-1 3-4 7 2 0 0 1 7 0 -
K. Williams 36 5-11 1-1 0-0 4 5 3 0 4 11 8 -
J. Holsinger 33 1-7 0-2 2-2 2 4 1 0 3 4 1 -
N. Garner 26 5-7 0-0 2-3 5 1 0 0 3 12 8 -
D. Holmes 18 4-6 2-2 1-2 2 1 0 0 1 11 7 -
J. Haarsma 15 0-1 0-1 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 0 2 -
K. Lacey 13 0-3 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 0 -3 -
C. Hopf 12 0-2 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 0 1 -
P. van Tongeren 11 1-3 0-0 0-2 4 0 0 1 0 2 4 -

* = starter