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2009-01-12

Model Predictions

Model Southern Jaguars Jackson State Tigers Spread Result
Elo 14.1% 85.9% +12.3 โœ“ (3.3 off)
Bradley-Terry 14.7% 85.3% - โœ“
Margin 9.8% 90.2% +12.2 โœ“ (3.2 off)
Pythagorean 29.9% 70.1% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 8.0% 92.0% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 7.8% 92.2% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 25.6% 74.4% - โœ“

Actual: Jackson State Tigers +9 (83-74). Ratings: 2008-09 season-end ratings.

Southern Jaguars

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Honore 31 5-8 3-3 3-4 2 1 1 0 4 16 8 -
S. Wiley 31 5-6 2-3 2-2 4 5 1 0 3 14 15 -
Douglas Scott 29 6-8 0-1 3-4 4 1 0 0 0 15 12 -
Chris Davis 29 5-9 3-4 0-0 0 3 1 0 4 13 4 -
B. Talley 20 1-4 1-1 0-1 2 2 0 0 0 3 3 -
Jazz Williams 15 3-7 2-4 0-0 3 0 2 0 0 8 6 -
J. Ingram 13 0-4 0-0 1-3 2 2 0 0 0 1 1 -
E. Jones 12 1-3 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 2 1 -
G. Horne 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 0 -1 -
D. Griffin 7 1-3 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 2 -1 -
B. White 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
A. Davis 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
M. Wollman 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Jackson State Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
G. Maxey 36 8-12 1-4 3-4 6 1 5 0 4 20 16 -
R. Melvin 35 0-5 0-2 6-6 4 5 1 0 2 6 9 -
D. Griffin 30 7-13 1-3 3-6 3 3 4 0 2 18 13 -
G. Johnson 27 6-10 4-7 2-2 2 1 0 1 2 18 10 -
C. Burk 19 1-1 0-0 0-0 4 2 0 1 1 2 7 -
J. Caldwell 18 8-8 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 0 0 16 13 -
K. Russell 13 0-2 0-1 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 0 1 -
D. Dixon 9 0-1 0-1 0-2 2 1 0 0 2 0 0 -
C. Hyche 6 1-3 1-2 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 3 1 -
P. Williams 5 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 0 -1 -
Jerome Davis 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
D. Huggins 0 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter