Model Predictions
| Model | UNC Greensboro Spartans | App State Mountaineers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 52.0% | 48.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 22.3% | 77.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 5.3% | 94.7% | +15.9 | ✓ (10.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 18.7% | 81.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: App State Mountaineers +5 (73-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.