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2009-01-12

Model Predictions

Model Notre Dame Fighting Irish Louisville Cardinals Spread Result
Elo 18.5% 81.5% -
Bradley-Terry 37.6% 62.4% -
Margin 28.1% 71.9% +5.2 (8.8 off)
Pythagorean 38.8% 61.2% -
Efficiency 19.1% 80.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 21.0% 79.0% -
Log Adjusted 21.0% 79.0% -

Actual: Louisville Cardinals +14 (87-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Notre Dame Fighting Irish

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
L. Harangody 45 13-28 0-1 2-2 13 0 2 2 0 28 17 -
K. McAlarney 44 7-13 5-6 0-0 5 5 0 0 1 19 15 -
T. Jackson 43 4-11 1-2 0-0 6 6 0 0 7 9 3 -
R. Ayers 39 3-6 3-6 0-0 6 2 0 2 1 9 12 -
Z. Hillesland 27 2-3 0-0 2-3 5 1 0 0 2 6 7 -
L. Zeller 25 1-8 0-5 0-0 7 1 0 0 2 2 0 -
J. Peoples 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -3 -
T. Nash 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
C. Scott 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Louisville Cardinals

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Williams 43 10-20 3-7 1-1 16 8 3 0 3 24 28 -
E. Clark 43 7-17 1-3 0-2 10 4 0 1 2 15 11 -
S. Samuels 26 7-14 0-0 4-7 6 2 0 4 1 18 15 -
A. McGee 26 2-9 2-7 4-4 3 0 1 0 0 10 5 -
P. Knowles 23 1-5 1-5 0-0 2 1 1 0 1 3 1 -
E. Sosa 22 3-6 0-2 0-0 2 4 0 0 2 6 4 -
T. Jennings 19 1-2 0-0 0-0 6 0 0 3 0 2 9 -
J. Smith 17 3-4 3-4 0-0 1 2 1 0 0 9 9 -
R. Delk 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 0 1 -
J. Swopshire 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
W. Scott 1 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -
G. Goode 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
K. Kuric 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter