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2009-01-11

Model Predictions

Model Wisconsin Badgers Purdue Boilermakers Spread Result
Elo 18.9% 81.1% -
Bradley-Terry 30.9% 69.1% -
Margin 23.0% 77.0% +6.6 (6.4 off)
Pythagorean 41.4% 58.6% -
Efficiency 13.5% 86.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 32.0% 68.0% -
Log Adjusted 32.0% 68.0% -

Actual: Purdue Boilermakers +13 (65-52). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Wisconsin Badgers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Hughes 39 3-11 1-4 2-2 2 3 1 0 5 9 -1 -
M. Landry 34 3-15 1-6 2-4 3 2 0 0 0 9 -1 -
J. Krabbenhoft 32 6-7 1-2 0-0 7 1 0 1 0 13 15 -
J. Bohannon 28 2-4 1-2 0-0 3 3 0 0 2 5 5 -
J. Leuer 27 4-12 1-4 0-0 6 1 1 1 0 9 6 -
K. Nankivil 16 2-3 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 1 1 4 2 -
T. Jarmusz 12 1-2 1-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 3 2 -
J. Taylor 6 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
K. Gullikson 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
R. Wilson 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 0 2 -

Purdue Boilermakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
E. Moore 33 1-12 0-2 2-2 4 1 0 0 0 4 -3 -
J. Johnson 31 8-10 0-0 4-6 10 0 2 0 1 20 21 -
R. Hummel 28 5-12 4-8 2-2 5 2 1 0 0 16 12 -
K. Grant 25 1-4 0-1 3-4 1 2 0 1 0 5 5 -
N. Calasan 24 2-6 0-2 0-2 4 3 0 1 1 4 5 -
C. Kramer 21 2-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 4 3 -
L. Jackson 21 2-3 0-0 0-1 0 1 1 0 1 4 2 -
M. Green 17 2-4 2-4 2-2 7 2 1 0 1 8 13 -

* = starter