Model Predictions
| Model | Rider Broncs | Manhattan Jaspers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 45.9% | 54.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 45.7% | 54.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 37.9% | 62.1% | +2.7 | ✗ (12.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.6% | 51.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Manhattan Jaspers -10 (66-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.