Model Predictions
| Model | LSU Tigers | Alabama Crimson Tide | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 10.8% | 89.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 40.4% | 59.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 31.1% | 68.9% | +4.4 | ✓ (1.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 58.6% | 41.4% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 68.4% | 31.6% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 76.2% | 23.8% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 76.1% | 23.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Alabama Crimson Tide +6 (65-59). Predictions use season-end ratings.
LSU Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Spencer | 39 | 4-10 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 10 | 0 | - |
| M. Thornton | 39 | 8-20 | 2-6 | 3-5 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 13 | - |
| C. Johnson | 28 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 14 | - |
| G. Temple | 28 | 3-8 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 4 | - |
| T. Mitchell | 28 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 6 | - |
| Q. Thornton | 15 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| S. Warren | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| A. Farrer | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| D. Graham | 5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| C. Bass | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| T. Martin | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Alabama Crimson Tide
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Gee | 37 | 4-12 | 0-2 | 6-9 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 17 | - |
| R. Steele | 36 | 2-10 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -1 | - |
| S. Hillman | 35 | 8-18 | 0-1 | 8-12 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 24 | 9 | - |
| J. Green | 31 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 10 | - |
| J. Knox | 22 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 8 | - |
| A. Steele | 16 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Y. Coleman | 15 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| B. Hollinger | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter