Model Predictions
| Model | North Carolina Tar Heels | Wake Forest Demon Deacons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 56.3% | 43.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 67.9% | 32.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 74.3% | 25.7% | -5.8 | ✗ (8.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.2% | 48.8% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 75.0% | 25.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 74.6% | 25.4% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 74.7% | 25.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Wake Forest Demon Deacons +3 (92-89). Predictions use season-end ratings.
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Hansbrough | 35 | 3-12 | 0-2 | 11-13 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 18 | - |
| T. Lawson | 34 | 4-12 | 0-4 | 1-1 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 6 | - |
| D. Green | 33 | 6-9 | 3-4 | 7-10 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 22 | 23 | - |
| W. Ellington | 31 | 4-13 | 2-7 | 7-7 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 7 | - |
| D. Thompson | 21 | 3-13 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 3 | - |
| E. Davis | 20 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 9 | - |
| W. Graves | 12 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 2 | - |
| B. Frasor | 8 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
| L. Drew II | 6 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | -1 | - |
Wake Forest Demon Deacons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Teague | 39 | 9-17 | 3-4 | 13-15 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 34 | 25 | - |
| C. McFarland | 33 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 6-9 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 20 | 23 | - |
| A. Aminu | 30 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 3-6 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 13 | - |
| L.D. Williams | 25 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| I. Smith | 24 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | - |
| J. Johnson | 20 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 5 | - |
| H. Hale | 13 | 2-6 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 1 | - |
| T. Woods | 10 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| G. Clark | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| D. Weaver | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter