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2009-01-11

Model Predictions

Model NC State Wolfpack North Carolina Tar Heels Spread Result
Elo 40.8% 59.2% -
Bradley-Terry 45.4% 54.6% -
Margin 35.6% 64.4% +3.3 (5.7 off)
Pythagorean 44.9% 55.1% -

Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels +9 (75-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.

NC State Wolfpack

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
L. Ellison 0 1-2 0-0 0-0 6 0 0 0 2 2 4 -
S. Beal 0 5-21 0-2 2-2 7 1 1 0 3 12 -3 -
N. Gartrell 0 6-18 0-1 1-4 2 4 0 0 3 13 -2 -
S. Fields 0 5-21 0-5 0-0 8 6 4 0 6 10 1 -
I. Muciniece 0 1-2 0-0 2-4 9 1 1 1 0 4 14 -

North Carolina Tar Heels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Breland 0 3-6 0-1 0-0 3 2 1 3 1 6 8 -
I. Mcfarland 0 1-4 0-0 0-0 7 0 1 0 0 2 6 -
R. Mccants 0 6-18 0-2 4-6 12 5 0 2 2 16 15 -
I. Lucas 0 2-9 1-6 4-4 4 4 1 1 3 9 7 -
C. DeGraffenreid 0 4-11 0-4 8-11 4 3 1 0 3 16 10 -

* = starter