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2009-01-11

Model Predictions

Model Iowa Hawkeyes Michigan Wolverines Spread Result
Elo 17.3% 82.7% -
Bradley-Terry 39.2% 60.8% -
Margin 31.2% 68.8% +4.3 (10.7 off)
Pythagorean 40.1% 59.9% -
Efficiency 41.5% 58.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 15.1% 84.9% -
Log Adjusted 14.9% 85.1% -

Actual: Michigan Wolverines +15 (64-49). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Iowa Hawkeyes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Gatens 37 4-8 1-3 2-2 8 1 0 1 1 11 12 -
J. Peterson 34 1-3 0-1 2-2 3 4 2 0 5 4 5 -
J. Kelly 28 3-9 1-1 0-0 0 3 0 0 2 7 -1 -
J. Cole 26 3-4 0-0 2-2 2 0 0 0 2 8 4 -
J. Davis 21 0-4 0-1 0-0 6 2 0 0 3 0 1 -
A. Fuller 13 2-4 1-3 0-0 3 1 0 0 2 5 3 -
A. Brommer 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 1 -
D. Bawinkel 12 1-5 1-4 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 3 -3 -
A. Tucker 11 3-5 2-3 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 8 5 -
D. Palmer 5 0-1 0-1 3-4 1 0 0 0 0 3 3 -

Michigan Wolverines

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Z. Novak 33 1-6 1-5 2-2 5 3 1 0 0 5 8 -
M. Harris 33 6-12 2-4 4-5 8 5 4 0 4 18 19 -
L. Lucas-Perry 29 2-5 1-3 3-4 4 2 2 0 2 8 9 -
K. Grady 28 3-6 2-4 0-0 0 4 1 0 0 8 7 -
D. Sims 27 8-15 0-1 0-1 4 0 2 0 1 16 6 -
S. Douglass 12 1-3 0-2 0-0 3 1 0 0 1 2 2 -
C.J. Lee 11 1-3 0-1 0-0 3 1 1 0 0 2 4 -
Z. Gibson 11 1-5 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 2 -3 -
D. Merritt 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 -
E. Puls 2 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 2 -
J. Shepherd 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
A. Wright 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter