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2009-01-11

Model Predictions

Model UCLA Bruins USC Trojans Spread Result
Elo 29.4% 70.6% -
Bradley-Terry 54.2% 45.8% -
Margin 54.2% 45.8% -0.9 (3.1 off)
Pythagorean 56.1% 43.9% -
Efficiency 83.5% 16.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 80.3% 19.7% -
Log Adjusted 80.5% 19.5% -

Actual: USC Trojans -4 (60-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.

UCLA Bruins

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Collison 39 6-9 1-2 5-7 3 6 0 0 1 18 17 -
J. Holiday 32 5-9 3-4 0-0 4 2 1 1 0 13 12 -
J. Shipp 29 3-8 1-3 3-4 2 0 1 0 2 10 3 -
N. Dragovic 27 4-13 3-9 3-4 4 0 0 0 0 14 5 -
A. Aboya 25 1-5 0-0 3-4 2 0 1 0 1 5 2 -
M. Roll 19 1-3 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 0 -
D. Gordon 15 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 1 2 2 -
J. Keefe 13 0-1 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 0 1 0 3 -
J. Anderson 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

USC Trojans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Lewis 40 2-11 0-3 0-0 1 3 0 0 1 4 -4 -
D. DeRozan 38 6-8 0-0 3-3 5 0 0 0 5 15 7 -
K. Wilkinson 36 3-4 1-2 2-2 4 2 0 0 1 9 10 -
D. Hackett 36 4-8 2-3 3-6 7 2 0 0 1 13 13 -
T. Gibson 23 6-9 0-0 1-3 5 1 0 2 0 13 12 -
M. Johnson 17 2-6 0-1 0-1 4 0 0 1 0 4 3 -
N. Vucevic 6 1-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
D. Smith 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter