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2009-01-10

Model Predictions

Model Southern Jaguars Grambling Tigers Spread Result
Elo 62.8% 37.2% -4.3 โœ— (6.3 off)
Bradley-Terry 52.8% 47.2% - โœ—
Margin 57.4% 42.6% -1.6 โœ— (3.6 off)
Pythagorean 68.2% 31.8% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 73.2% 26.8% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 73.3% 26.7% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 53.5% 46.5% - โœ—

Actual: Grambling Tigers +2 (55-53). Ratings: 2008-09 season-end ratings.

Southern Jaguars

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Douglas Scott 31 3-4 0-0 0-0 9 2 0 0 4 6 9 -
Barry Honore 30 1-7 0-2 2-2 5 0 0 0 0 4 2 -
Desmond Griffin 28 2-10 2-4 0-0 5 1 1 2 4 6 1 -
Julius Ingram 28 3-5 0-0 6-7 4 0 0 0 3 12 8 -
Chris Davis 26 5-9 1-1 1-2 4 2 3 0 2 12 10 -
Steffon Wiley 23 2-6 1-3 3-4 1 3 1 0 0 8 7 -
Earnest Jones 18 0-1 0-1 3-6 4 0 0 0 0 3 6 -
Brian Talley 8 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
Brandon White 6 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 2 0 -
Gregory Horne 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -

Grambling Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Andrew Prestley 30 5-13 0-2 1-1 6 1 1 1 0 11 7 -
Donald Qualls 28 3-12 1-6 0-0 1 1 1 0 1 7 -3 -
Marcus Coleman 28 3-6 0-0 1-2 8 1 0 1 1 7 10 -
Ariece Perkins 27 8-13 4-7 1-1 3 4 2 0 3 21 14 -
Jarred Riley 19 3-4 0-0 0-1 4 0 0 2 0 6 8 -
Ibrahim Kpaka 19 0-5 0-3 0-0 0 3 1 0 1 0 -2 -
Corrie Austin 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 2 2 1 0 3 -
Jordan Lemons 13 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 2 1 0 2 0 0 -
Kevin Loyd 10 1-1 1-1 0-0 2 1 1 0 1 3 5 -
George Akpele 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 2 0 0 -
Quincy Hall 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter