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2009-01-10

Model Predictions

Model UNLV Rebels TCU Horned Frogs Spread Result
Elo 30.7% 69.3% -
Bradley-Terry 36.5% 63.5% -
Margin 28.0% 72.0% +5.2 (1.8 off)
Pythagorean 58.7% 41.3% -
Efficiency 70.2% 29.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 81.5% 18.5% -
Log Adjusted 81.5% 18.5% -

Actual: TCU Horned Frogs +7 (80-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.

UNLV Rebels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
W. Adams 36 3-11 2-8 1-4 3 9 0 0 4 9 6 -
T. Willis 35 2-6 2-4 5-7 3 5 1 0 2 11 12 -
J. Darger 34 5-14 5-14 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 15 4 -
R. Rougeau 32 5-7 0-0 2-4 6 1 0 0 2 12 10 -
K. Wallace 23 4-4 4-4 0-0 2 1 1 0 0 12 12 -
O. Bellfield 22 3-5 1-3 0-0 1 2 0 0 0 7 5 -
M. Rutledge 12 2-2 1-1 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 5 5 -
D. Santee 6 1-1 0-0 0-1 0 0 0 0 1 2 0 -
D. Mitchell 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

TCU Horned Frogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
E. Ruzgas 39 6-10 2-6 4-5 5 1 0 0 0 18 14 -
K. Langford 34 4-9 0-0 1-2 3 3 0 0 1 9 5 -
Z. Buljan 33 7-11 2-3 4-8 13 3 1 0 3 20 23 -
J. Ebie 30 2-5 0-1 2-2 2 4 0 0 1 6 6 -
K. Mitchem 29 3-4 1-1 1-2 2 3 2 0 2 8 9 -
R. Moss 23 6-10 1-4 2-2 4 4 2 0 0 15 15 -
K. Butler 9 2-4 0-1 0-0 0 1 1 0 0 4 2 -
J. Ortiz 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 0 1 -

* = starter