Model Predictions
| Model | East Carolina Pirates | SMU Mustangs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 53.2% | 46.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 48.1% | 51.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 29.0% | 71.0% | +4.9 | ✓ (2.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.9% | 49.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: SMU Mustangs +7 (80-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.