Model Predictions
| Model | New Hampshire Wildcats | UMBC Retrievers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 31.2% | 68.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 46.8% | 53.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 32.4% | 67.6% | +4.1 | ✓ (5.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 54.7% | 45.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: UMBC Retrievers +10 (95-85). Predictions use season-end ratings.