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2009-01-10

Model Predictions

Model Kansas Jayhawks Kansas State Wildcats Spread Result
Elo 34.6% 65.4% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 29.2% 70.8% - โœ“
Margin 29.8% 70.2% +4.7 โœ“ (28.3 off)
Pythagorean 44.3% 55.7% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 34.0% 66.0% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 33.2% 66.8% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 39.7% 60.3% - โœ“

Actual: Kansas State Wildcats +33 (72-39). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Kansas Jayhawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
N. Smith 0 2-5 0-1 0-0 3 2 2 0 4 4 2 -
K. Boogarad 0 3-4 0-0 1-2 6 0 0 1 1 7 9 -
D. McCray 0 2-12 0-1 3-3 8 1 1 1 4 7 2 -
M. Stephens 0 5-13 0-2 2-2 1 1 0 0 2 12 -1 -
I. Catic 0 1-1 1-1 0-0 3 0 2 0 4 3 3 -

Kansas State Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Sweat 0 8-15 0-2 2-4 4 1 1 0 0 18 9 -
M. Gipson 0 5-9 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 5 3 10 8 -
D. Zanotti 0 1-3 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 3 -1 -
K. Kincaid 0 4-9 1-4 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 9 3 -
S. Lehning 0 6-10 0-1 2-2 6 10 1 0 2 14 19 -

* = starter