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2009-01-10

Model Predictions

Model Oklahoma Sooners Kansas State Wildcats Spread Result
Elo 81.1% 18.9% -
Bradley-Terry 44.1% 55.9% -
Margin 44.3% 55.7% +1.3 (9.3 off)
Pythagorean 63.0% 37.0% -
Efficiency 95.2% 4.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 90.9% 9.1% -
Log Adjusted 91.0% 9.0% -

Actual: Kansas State Wildcats -8 (53-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Oklahoma Sooners

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Griffin 39 3-6 0-0 2-2 7 1 1 0 4 8 7 -
W. Warren 38 4-6 2-2 0-2 2 2 3 0 2 10 9 -
B. Griffin 38 13-24 0-0 3-9 15 3 1 1 4 29 21 -
A. Johnson 36 2-9 1-3 1-2 6 5 1 1 1 6 9 -
T. Crocker 30 2-10 0-4 3-4 4 0 4 0 4 7 1 -
C. Davis 12 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -
R. Wright 3 0-0 0-0 1-2 2 0 0 0 0 1 3 -
O. Leary 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
O. Allen 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Kansas State Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Clemente 33 6-15 2-6 4-5 5 3 1 0 3 18 9 -
J. Pullen 30 3-14 2-11 0-0 3 5 1 0 4 8 -1 -
R. Anderson Jr. 25 0-1 0-0 1-3 7 1 1 1 3 1 7 -
F. Brown 24 4-12 3-6 1-2 1 1 0 0 5 12 -3 -
D. Sutton 20 1-2 1-2 0-0 3 0 2 0 4 3 2 -
D. Kent 20 1-5 0-0 2-4 6 0 0 0 0 4 5 -
L. Colon 20 0-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 1 0 0 2 -
J. Samuels 17 3-4 0-0 1-3 5 0 1 1 0 7 10 -
C. Merriewether 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 1 0 3 -
S. Lehning 0 6-10 0-1 2-2 6 10 1 0 2 14 19 -
V. Ojeleye 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
K. Kincaid 0 4-9 1-4 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 9 3 -
D. Zanotti 0 1-3 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 3 -1 -
M. Gipson 0 5-9 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 5 3 10 8 -
A. Sweat 0 8-15 0-2 2-4 4 1 1 0 0 18 9 -

* = starter