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2009-01-10

Model Predictions

Model Portland Pilots Gonzaga Bulldogs Spread Result
Elo 1.8% 98.2% -
Bradley-Terry 5.1% 94.9% -
Margin 1.2% 98.8% +24.2 (7.2 off)
Pythagorean 37.7% 62.3% -
Efficiency 3.8% 96.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Log Adjusted 1.0% 99.0% -

Actual: Gonzaga Bulldogs +17 (67-50). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Portland Pilots

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T.J. Campbell 34 3-11 1-4 2-2 2 2 3 0 3 9 2 -
N. Raivio 33 3-12 0-2 3-5 6 0 1 0 4 9 0 -
K. Knutson 31 2-5 0-0 2-5 5 0 0 0 1 6 5 -
J. Stohl 26 3-7 3-7 1-2 0 1 1 0 0 10 5 -
R. Smeulders 22 3-9 0-0 2-2 4 3 3 0 4 8 5 -
E. Niedermeyer 20 1-3 1-3 0-0 2 2 1 0 2 3 3 -
L. Sikma 17 2-4 0-0 0-1 8 0 0 0 2 4 6 -
E. Waterford 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
B.J. Porter 5 0-0 0-0 1-2 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 -
J. Hannibal 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
N. Mitrovic 1 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
T. Ito 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Gonzaga Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Gray 37 4-10 3-9 2-2 3 2 5 1 0 13 14 -
M. Bouldin 33 5-10 2-5 2-3 2 6 1 0 0 14 13 -
J. Pargo 30 4-7 0-0 4-4 3 0 0 0 4 12 4 -
M. Downs 29 2-7 1-4 0-0 7 1 1 1 1 5 7 -
J. Heytvelt 28 5-10 0-1 4-5 3 1 0 1 4 14 5 -
A. Daye 19 1-5 0-1 1-2 10 0 1 1 2 3 8 -
D. Goodson 10 1-2 0-0 4-4 1 2 1 0 2 6 6 -
W. Foster 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 -
I. Brown 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
A. Sorenson 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter