Model Predictions
| Model | Memphis Tigers | UCF Knights | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 35.2% | 64.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 54.0% | 46.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 50.9% | 49.1% | -0.2 | ✓ (6.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 76.0% | 24.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 94.7% | 5.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 94.8% | 5.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UCF Knights -7 (66-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Memphis Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Anderson | 39 | 5-12 | 2-3 | 3-6 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 12 | - |
| R. Dozier | 34 | 6-9 | 1-2 | 2-3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 12 | - |
| T. Evans | 29 | 6-10 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 15 | 13 | - |
| S. Taggart | 20 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| D. Mack | 19 | 4-8 | 1-5 | 2-3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 7 | - |
| W. Witherspoon | 14 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| P. Henderson-Niles | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| W. Kemp | 12 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| R. Sallie | 11 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| M. Simpkins | 8 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
UCF Knights
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Taylor | 36 | 9-21 | 3-7 | 3-4 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 24 | 12 | - |
| A.J. Rompza | 32 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | - |
| T. Davis | 31 | 6-10 | 0-1 | 4-7 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 16 | 21 | - |
| K. Zondervan | 26 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 9 | - |
| I. Sosa | 26 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -1 | - |
| T. Young | 23 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| A.J. Tyler | 22 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | - |
| C. Baez | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter